Bitcoin
3 Reasons Why Bitcoin Will Go Down in September
We all keep asking ourselves the same question, why is Bitcoin going down? The price of Bitcoin (BTC) at the moment of writing this, is headed in a direction contrary to what we had all hoped for after the slight recovery due to a decline catalyzed be the Goldman Sachs fake news of September 5th. BTC looked like it had dipped for the last time on the 12th of September when it was valued at around $6,250. It would then briefly rally to $6,580 leading many to believe a bottom had been reached.
One such individual who believed this theory was the ex-fund manager and billionaire investor, Michael Novogratz, who tweeted the following:
I think we put in a low yesterday [12th September]. retouched the highs of late last year and the point of acceleration that led to the massive rally/bubble… markets like to retrace to the breakout..we retraced the whole of the bubble.
Why is Bitcoin going down?
Firstly, on the 16th and 17th of September, Bitcoin experienced its lowest trade volumes since November last year. Further checking coinmarketcap, we find that the 24-hour trade volume on these two days was valued between $3.1 Billion and $3.2 Billion rather than its usual levels above $3.5 Billion.
BTC low trade volumes on the 16th and 17th of September. Source, coinmarketcap.com
The low trade volumes are an indicator that there is reduced trading and interest in the digital asset of BTC. Less interest equals a bear market. The 24-hour trade volume today has since increased to $3.9 Billion and Bitcoin is currently trading at $6,278.
Secondly, there is an Mt. Gox creditors meeting on the 26th of September. We all know that the liquidation of the entire Bitcoin stash to pay creditors of the exchange could literally drop BTC to levels unseen in the last 2 years. The BTC held by the Mt. Gox trustee is in the thousands (over 170,000) and given current market conditions, it could tank the market.
The announcement of the September 26th meeting was made as follows.
“Meeting for reporting the status of property and submission deadline for a report under Article 125 of the Civil Rehabilitation Act: September 26, 2018”
Therefore, whatever information that will be reported on this date, could impact an already volatile market in a negative manner.
Thirdly, and keeping in mind that the crypto-market is still volatile, the deadline for an SEC verdict on the CBOE sponsored Bitcoin ETF is the 30th of September. Using past SEC announcements and decisions, if the verdict will be postponed, they will announce it before the 30th. The other side of the picture is if there is a rejection of the proposed rule change through the ETF application. In the case of the latter, the SEC will announce a rejection on the 30th.
The possibility of the CBOE sponsored Bitcoin ETF getting approved by the SEC are slim. This is why we have only explored the two possibilities highlighted above. If the SEC would embark on either of the two paths, the crypto market will respond with a knee-jerk reaction that might include panic selling.
In conclusion, and not wanting to sound too pessimistic, the next two weeks are probably one of the most uncertain weeks in the history of the value of BTC. All indicators point towards a bear market, but a crypto miracle is also a possibility before the 30th.
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Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide, investment advice. Global Coin Report and/or its affiliates, employees, writers, and subcontractors are cryptocurrency investors and from time to time may or may not have holdings in some of the coins or tokens they cover. The author is long Bitcoin. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency and read our full disclaimer.
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Bitcoin price dumped hard on Monday, briefly slipping below $41,000, erasing gains recorded in the previous week. The premier cryptocurrency seems to have exhausted its recent rally propelled by industry vulnerabilities. At the time of writing, the world’s largest cryptocurrency was trading slightly lower at $41,385. Bitcoin’s total market cap has dipped by 2% over the past day, while the total volume of BTC tokens traded over the same period climbed by 58%.
Fundamentals
Bitcoin price has been facing retracements and a rollercoaster over the past few days after recently rocketing to a 20-month peak. On-chain data has suggested that many investors used the opportunity to take some profits, leading to a decline in the asset’s price.
Bitcoin’s price slump is mirrored in the wider crypto market, with the global crypto market cap decreasing by 1.85% over the past 24 hours to $1.55 trillion. The total crypto market volume has increased by 32% over the same period. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has plunged from a level of extreme greed to a greed level of 70, suggesting a decline in risk appetite.
Ethereum, the largest altcoin by market capitalization, is currently trading at $2,167, down almost 3% for the day. Meme coins have been hit hard by the market slump, with Dogecoin and Shiba Inu down by more than 4% over the last day.
Last week on Thursday, cryptocurrency experts took notice of…
Bitcoin price edged lower on Thursday despite optimism in wider markets on the back of the Fed’s interest rate decision. The flagship cryptocurrency has been consolidating above the critical level of $42,000 after briefly topping $44,000, its highest level in 20 months. Bitcoin was trading 0.71% lower at $42,569 at press time. BTC’s total market cap has increased by more than 3% over the last day to $832 billion, while the total volume of the asset traded over the same period jumped by 22%.
Economic Outlook
Bitcoin price has been trading sideways over the past few days, suggesting a pause in its recent rally towards $45,000. The premier cryptocurrency has decreased by 4% in the past week but remains 15.22% higher in the month to date. The digital asset has staged a significant recovery this year after a torrid 2022 in which a string of scandals, including the collapse of FTX, led to a market meltdown, undermining the credibility of the sector.
The crypto market has been buoyed by the Fed’s latest interest rate decision. The US Federal Reserve on Wednesday held its key interest rate unchanged for the third consecutive time, in line with market expectations. With the easing of the inflation rate, members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to keep the benchmark overnight borrowing rate in a targeted range between 5.25%-5.5%.
Additionally, the central bank indicated that three rate…
Bitcoin price has been hovering above the $43,000 psychological level over the past two days amid anticipation about the potential approval of a spot bitcoin ETF. The flagship cryptocurrency has climbed more than 16% in the past week and nearly 170% in the year to date. Bitcoin’s total market cap has increased by nearly 5% over the past 24 hours to $858.9 billion, while the total volume of the token traded rose by 43%. The Bitcoin price was trading at $43,914 at press time.
Fundamentals
Bitcoin price has posted significant gains over the past few days, climbing to its highest level since April 2022, before the crash of a stablecoin that started a litany of company failures, pummeling crypto prices. The world’s largest cryptocurrency briefly topped the crucial level of $44,000 on Wednesday amid rising momentum despite being massively overbought.
According to analysts, with no spot bitcoin ETF approvals yet and the halving event five to six months away, the market is riding on FOMO. Capital has been flowing in the Bitcoin market amid enthusiasm that the launches of spot ETF will bring in billions of dollars of new investment into the crypto sector.
Investors have already started providing capital as seed money for ETF products. Notably, a recent report by CoinDesk showed that the world’s largest fund manager, BlackRock, received $100,000 in capital from a seed investor for its spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund…
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