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Bitcoin and Ethereum: A Look At The Week Ahead

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It was a pretty uneventful weekend for crypto traders. While we saw a decent bounce off the lows for Bitcoin, Ethereum and alts, many crypto traders are still on the sidelines trying to make sense of what the heck happened. Stories of moon, lambo and riches have instead turned to depression, anxiety, and fear.

As a student of the markets and coming from traditional finance, we admit that it’s very difficult to put a true valuation on Bitcoin, Etheruem or alts. Cryptos are only worth what the market is willing to pay and the price action is dictated more by human emotions than anything else.

That’s what frustrates us the most about so-called experts like Tom Lee from Fundstrat, John McAfee, or “BK” Brian Kelly on CNBC. All they do is throw out predictions to keep the public interested in crypto. We all remember how “BK” ran the tutorial on CNBC on how to buy Ripple XRP. He did so at the very top and that segment has resulted in billions of dollars of losses.

But our favorite schiller is John McAfee. Who can forget “if Bitcoin does not get to $1 million, I will eat my d@#k.” His self-promotion only helped John McAfee get tons of airtime and attention. The sad part is that it got many nobs buying Bitcoin at higher prices looking to cash in one day on $1 million.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin traded sideways for most of the weekend. We had an attempted breakout above 6600 that failed pretty quickly. The market is now consolidating in the 6200 to 6500 region.

Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

We don’t think the play here is to be short. There is a ton of support between 5800 and 6200. Every time Bitcoin has tested that region, the dip buyers have come in. We believe that the next $1000 move in Bitcoin will be to the upside. To do so, Bitcoin needs to breakout above 6620, 6640 and 6650. A break above 6650 will get the shorts covering and add some gasoline to the rally. There is still a heavy Bitcoin short position.

Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

Ethereum

Ethereum has gotten crushed this year. Most have said that the cause of last week’s selloff was ICOs rushing to sell the ETH they raised at $1000 or higher. While there is some truth to it and some ICOs did indeed do that, we don’t believe they panic sold at these levels. ICOs had plenty of time this year to sell. Matter of fact, we believe that many of the scam ICOs have been dumping all along and the founders using the proceeds to fly first class, buy lambos, and enjoy a jet-set lifestyle off their investor’s ETH.

We argue that the ability for more investors to go short has had the devastating impact on the market. Like we saw last year with Bitcoin futures, the ability to bet against cryptos was too enticing for deep-pocketed Wall Street investors to sell into. It is far too coincidental that Bitcoin topped out right around the time Bitcoin futures were introduced by the CBOE and the CME.

For many crypto traders, the ability to go short is easily done on BitMex. Have a look at the ETHUSD daily chart on BitMex. What does it tell you?

Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The selling pressure has been relentless and driven the price down. Judging by this chart, we believe a strong bounce is bound to occur and send ETH to the $360 to $380 by just using simple Fibonacci retracements.

Bottom Line

We are big believers in price action. Without any proper valuation tools, that’s all crypto traders can really go in. While we see many chartists using complex theories, we prefer KISS – Keep Things Simple Stupid. Use basic support and resistance levels and remember that cryptos are all about momentum. Buy high, sell higher. Sell lower and buy lower.

Happy Trading~

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Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide, investment advice. Global Coin Report and/or its affiliates, employees, writers, and subcontractors are cryptocurrency investors and from time to time may or may not have holdings in some of the coins or tokens they cover. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency and read our full disclaimer. This author is long Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Image courtesy of Pexels

Charts courtesy of tradingview.com

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Bitcoin

Stepping off the rollercoaster: Why I’ve fallen out of love with Bitcoin

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The very word Bitcoin has almost become synonymous with that of cryptocurrency. It’s basically just a medium of conducting digital transactions – it’s a virtual currency and one of many. So how has it taken on a definition of its own and asserted itself as a leader in the digital financial ecosystem?

Bitcoin has been crowned king of altcoins, probably because it was one of the earliest and most successful of its kind. The trendsetter has ushered in a wave of cryptocurrencies built on decentralised P2P networks and has inspired a growing number of followers and spinoffs. But is Bitcoin struggling to keep up with the newcomers who have made considerable developments to the stability, security, and usability of the crypto world?

The supporting case for Bitcoin has been a clear one. Its pioneering infrastructure has situated it in a position of dominance in the altcoin realm. Bitcoin has a proven usage case as a store of value. Having existed over 8 years without failure, it has a large lead over most altcoins and has withstood the test of time as younger counterparts join the market. However, it seems to be on a downward slope, or at the very least, not progressing at the speed of the market.

In May this…

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Altcoins

Cryptocurrency Collateralized Debt Positions Are Growing in Popularity

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collateralized debt position
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While Bitcoin (BTC) continues to hover around the magical 10,000 price level, altcoins continue to fight an uphill battle.  Simply put, hopes of a future bull run continue to diminish as Bitcoin maintains its dominance.  One school of thought is that a few altcoins will survive and flourish, but which ones are anyone’s guess.  That being said, it’s hard to go wrong picking against the top coins like Ethereum (ETH), Ripple (XRP), Litecoin (LTC), and EOS.  These projects have managed to find a foothold in the market and have a better chance than most of staying there.  While traders wait for their positions to increase in value, one opportunity that may be worth looking at is initiating a collateralized debt position.

What is a Cryptocurrency CDP?

In traditional terms, a CDP is essentially putting up collateral in order to receive a loan against the deposited amount.  There are several examples of this in our day to day lives.  Auto title loans from large companies like TitleMax are extremely popular with consumers.  Consumers are essentially able to use their car as collateral in exchange for a cash payment which can then be used for whatever needs the consumer has.  The consumer can continue using their car as long as debt payments are made.

The same concept applies to cryptocurrency CDPs.  Consumers are able to put up crypto tokens, such as…

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Altcoins

Hodium Presents a Compelling Opportunity for Outsized Investment Returns

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Hodium
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I’m sure all of us remember the cryptocurrency glory days of 2017 and early 2018.  It was one of the biggest bull runs in history and created incredibly wealth for quite a few early entrants.  Unfortunately, for most of us, those gains have most likely been wiped out during the altcoin apocalypse.  The truth is that traders probably thought a bit too highly of their trading abilities when the reality was that anyone could have thrown a dart at a board and ended up making money.

As markets mature (and the crypto market is definitely maturing) it becomes more and more difficult to generate alpha.  In that regard, it’s similar to traditional financial markets.  I can remember trading during my high school days.  It was the late 90s and right in the middle of the dot.com boom.  Eventually, however, the euphoria fades away and reality hits hard.  Now, it’s become rather difficult to actually trade profitably which has given way to the rise of hedge funds.

Hedge funds are investment funds that pool capital from accredited and/or institutional investors and invest in a variety of assets, often with extremely complex portfolio-construction and risk management techniques.  The professionals employed by hedge funds are the best of the best and have spent years honing their craft.  That is why they’re able to make the millions of dollars that they normally…

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