Bitcoin
Bitcoin and Ethereum: A Look At The Week Ahead
It was a pretty uneventful weekend for crypto traders. While we saw a decent bounce off the lows for Bitcoin, Ethereum and alts, many crypto traders are still on the sidelines trying to make sense of what the heck happened. Stories of moon, lambo and riches have instead turned to depression, anxiety, and fear.
As a student of the markets and coming from traditional finance, we admit that it’s very difficult to put a true valuation on Bitcoin, Etheruem or alts. Cryptos are only worth what the market is willing to pay and the price action is dictated more by human emotions than anything else.
That’s what frustrates us the most about so-called experts like Tom Lee from Fundstrat, John McAfee, or “BK” Brian Kelly on CNBC. All they do is throw out predictions to keep the public interested in crypto. We all remember how “BK” ran the tutorial on CNBC on how to buy Ripple XRP. He did so at the very top and that segment has resulted in billions of dollars of losses.
But our favorite schiller is John McAfee. Who can forget “if Bitcoin does not get to $1 million, I will eat my d@#k.” His self-promotion only helped John McAfee get tons of airtime and attention. The sad part is that it got many nobs buying Bitcoin at higher prices looking to cash in one day on $1 million.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin traded sideways for most of the weekend. We had an attempted breakout above 6600 that failed pretty quickly. The market is now consolidating in the 6200 to 6500 region.
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com
We don’t think the play here is to be short. There is a ton of support between 5800 and 6200. Every time Bitcoin has tested that region, the dip buyers have come in. We believe that the next $1000 move in Bitcoin will be to the upside. To do so, Bitcoin needs to breakout above 6620, 6640 and 6650. A break above 6650 will get the shorts covering and add some gasoline to the rally. There is still a heavy Bitcoin short position.
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com
Ethereum
Ethereum has gotten crushed this year. Most have said that the cause of last week’s selloff was ICOs rushing to sell the ETH they raised at $1000 or higher. While there is some truth to it and some ICOs did indeed do that, we don’t believe they panic sold at these levels. ICOs had plenty of time this year to sell. Matter of fact, we believe that many of the scam ICOs have been dumping all along and the founders using the proceeds to fly first class, buy lambos, and enjoy a jet-set lifestyle off their investor’s ETH.
We argue that the ability for more investors to go short has had the devastating impact on the market. Like we saw last year with Bitcoin futures, the ability to bet against cryptos was too enticing for deep-pocketed Wall Street investors to sell into. It is far too coincidental that Bitcoin topped out right around the time Bitcoin futures were introduced by the CBOE and the CME.
For many crypto traders, the ability to go short is easily done on BitMex. Have a look at the ETHUSD daily chart on BitMex. What does it tell you?
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com
The selling pressure has been relentless and driven the price down. Judging by this chart, we believe a strong bounce is bound to occur and send ETH to the $360 to $380 by just using simple Fibonacci retracements.
Bottom Line
We are big believers in price action. Without any proper valuation tools, that’s all crypto traders can really go in. While we see many chartists using complex theories, we prefer KISS – Keep Things Simple Stupid. Use basic support and resistance levels and remember that cryptos are all about momentum. Buy high, sell higher. Sell lower and buy lower.
Happy Trading~
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Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide, investment advice. Global Coin Report and/or its affiliates, employees, writers, and subcontractors are cryptocurrency investors and from time to time may or may not have holdings in some of the coins or tokens they cover. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency and read our full disclaimer. This author is long Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Image courtesy of Pexels
Charts courtesy of tradingview.com
Bitcoin price dumped hard on Monday, briefly slipping below $41,000, erasing gains recorded in the previous week. The premier cryptocurrency seems to have exhausted its recent rally propelled by industry vulnerabilities. At the time of writing, the world’s largest cryptocurrency was trading slightly lower at $41,385. Bitcoin’s total market cap has dipped by 2% over the past day, while the total volume of BTC tokens traded over the same period climbed by 58%.
Fundamentals
Bitcoin price has been facing retracements and a rollercoaster over the past few days after recently rocketing to a 20-month peak. On-chain data has suggested that many investors used the opportunity to take some profits, leading to a decline in the asset’s price.
Bitcoin’s price slump is mirrored in the wider crypto market, with the global crypto market cap decreasing by 1.85% over the past 24 hours to $1.55 trillion. The total crypto market volume has increased by 32% over the same period. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has plunged from a level of extreme greed to a greed level of 70, suggesting a decline in risk appetite.
Ethereum, the largest altcoin by market capitalization, is currently trading at $2,167, down almost 3% for the day. Meme coins have been hit hard by the market slump, with Dogecoin and Shiba Inu down by more than 4% over the last day.
Last week on Thursday, cryptocurrency experts took notice of…
Bitcoin price edged lower on Thursday despite optimism in wider markets on the back of the Fed’s interest rate decision. The flagship cryptocurrency has been consolidating above the critical level of $42,000 after briefly topping $44,000, its highest level in 20 months. Bitcoin was trading 0.71% lower at $42,569 at press time. BTC’s total market cap has increased by more than 3% over the last day to $832 billion, while the total volume of the asset traded over the same period jumped by 22%.
Economic Outlook
Bitcoin price has been trading sideways over the past few days, suggesting a pause in its recent rally towards $45,000. The premier cryptocurrency has decreased by 4% in the past week but remains 15.22% higher in the month to date. The digital asset has staged a significant recovery this year after a torrid 2022 in which a string of scandals, including the collapse of FTX, led to a market meltdown, undermining the credibility of the sector.
The crypto market has been buoyed by the Fed’s latest interest rate decision. The US Federal Reserve on Wednesday held its key interest rate unchanged for the third consecutive time, in line with market expectations. With the easing of the inflation rate, members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to keep the benchmark overnight borrowing rate in a targeted range between 5.25%-5.5%.
Additionally, the central bank indicated that three rate…
Bitcoin price has been hovering above the $43,000 psychological level over the past two days amid anticipation about the potential approval of a spot bitcoin ETF. The flagship cryptocurrency has climbed more than 16% in the past week and nearly 170% in the year to date. Bitcoin’s total market cap has increased by nearly 5% over the past 24 hours to $858.9 billion, while the total volume of the token traded rose by 43%. The Bitcoin price was trading at $43,914 at press time.
Fundamentals
Bitcoin price has posted significant gains over the past few days, climbing to its highest level since April 2022, before the crash of a stablecoin that started a litany of company failures, pummeling crypto prices. The world’s largest cryptocurrency briefly topped the crucial level of $44,000 on Wednesday amid rising momentum despite being massively overbought.
According to analysts, with no spot bitcoin ETF approvals yet and the halving event five to six months away, the market is riding on FOMO. Capital has been flowing in the Bitcoin market amid enthusiasm that the launches of spot ETF will bring in billions of dollars of new investment into the crypto sector.
Investors have already started providing capital as seed money for ETF products. Notably, a recent report by CoinDesk showed that the world’s largest fund manager, BlackRock, received $100,000 in capital from a seed investor for its spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund…
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