Bitcoin
Bitcoin Price Flips Above $26,500: What’s Next?
Bitcoin price has been showing signs of a potential short-term recovery over the past few days and even tapped its highest level in two weeks, above $26,500. The premier cryptocurrency has gained nearly 2% over the past week, erasing some of the losses made in the previous days. Even so, the asset remains 9% below in the month to date. Bitcoin’s total market cap has climbed by more than 1% over the last day to $518 billion, while the total volume of BTC traded over the same period decreased by more than 9%.
Inflation Concerns
Like most major altcoins, Bitcoin price noted a slight bearish initial response to the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data published on September 13. Data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showed headline inflation by the CPI came in at 3.7%, ahead of the predicted 3.6% year-on-year and higher than July’s 3.2% rate. Annual core CPI, which excluded food and energy prices, decreased to 4.3% in August, in line with forecasts and down from July’s 4.7% reading.
The Producer Price Index (PPI) data released on Thursday suggested bearable levels of inflation following a monthly increase of 0.7% and an annual increase of 1.6% in August. The monthly reading was higher than the estimated 0.4% increase. The core PPI came in at 0.2% for the month, in line with analysts’ expectations.
Retail sales data also published on Thursday came in stronger than expected at 0.6% in August, far ahead of the anticipated 0.1%, suggesting consumer resilience.
The larger-than-expected jump in prices leaves room for a hawkish tone from the US Federal Reserve. The high inflation readings for August could impact the decision-making of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting slated for next week. Markets are pricing in a 97% chance of the Fed leaving rates unchanged in their meeting next week. Notably, higher interest rates could be on the cards in the remaining meetings for the year.
Bitcoin Price Prediction
Bitcoin price has been hovering above the crucial level of $26,000 over the past few days after a slightly bearish reaction to the high inflation figures. The initial reaction was expected to be bearish since higher inflation often translates to lower demand for riskier assets. Despite the consecutive 4-day rising streak, Bitcoin price remains below the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages, as seen on the daily chart.
Going forward, the Bitcoin price is likely to take a downturn in the immediate term, amid the skepticism in the crypto market. If this happens, Bitcoin price could potentially fall below the next support level of $25,825.60 and $25,300. Conversely, a breach above the major hurdle at $27,065 could initiate a fresh recovery rally, invalidating my cautiously bearish thesis.
BTC Price Chart
Bitcoin price dumped hard on Monday, briefly slipping below $41,000, erasing gains recorded in the previous week. The premier cryptocurrency seems to have exhausted its recent rally propelled by industry vulnerabilities. At the time of writing, the world’s largest cryptocurrency was trading slightly lower at $41,385. Bitcoin’s total market cap has dipped by 2% over the past day, while the total volume of BTC tokens traded over the same period climbed by 58%.
Fundamentals
Bitcoin price has been facing retracements and a rollercoaster over the past few days after recently rocketing to a 20-month peak. On-chain data has suggested that many investors used the opportunity to take some profits, leading to a decline in the asset’s price.
Bitcoin’s price slump is mirrored in the wider crypto market, with the global crypto market cap decreasing by 1.85% over the past 24 hours to $1.55 trillion. The total crypto market volume has increased by 32% over the same period. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has plunged from a level of extreme greed to a greed level of 70, suggesting a decline in risk appetite.
Ethereum, the largest altcoin by market capitalization, is currently trading at $2,167, down almost 3% for the day. Meme coins have been hit hard by the market slump, with Dogecoin and Shiba Inu down by more than 4% over the last day.
Last week on Thursday, cryptocurrency experts took notice of…
Bitcoin price edged lower on Thursday despite optimism in wider markets on the back of the Fed’s interest rate decision. The flagship cryptocurrency has been consolidating above the critical level of $42,000 after briefly topping $44,000, its highest level in 20 months. Bitcoin was trading 0.71% lower at $42,569 at press time. BTC’s total market cap has increased by more than 3% over the last day to $832 billion, while the total volume of the asset traded over the same period jumped by 22%.
Economic Outlook
Bitcoin price has been trading sideways over the past few days, suggesting a pause in its recent rally towards $45,000. The premier cryptocurrency has decreased by 4% in the past week but remains 15.22% higher in the month to date. The digital asset has staged a significant recovery this year after a torrid 2022 in which a string of scandals, including the collapse of FTX, led to a market meltdown, undermining the credibility of the sector.
The crypto market has been buoyed by the Fed’s latest interest rate decision. The US Federal Reserve on Wednesday held its key interest rate unchanged for the third consecutive time, in line with market expectations. With the easing of the inflation rate, members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to keep the benchmark overnight borrowing rate in a targeted range between 5.25%-5.5%.
Additionally, the central bank indicated that three rate…
Bitcoin price has been hovering above the $43,000 psychological level over the past two days amid anticipation about the potential approval of a spot bitcoin ETF. The flagship cryptocurrency has climbed more than 16% in the past week and nearly 170% in the year to date. Bitcoin’s total market cap has increased by nearly 5% over the past 24 hours to $858.9 billion, while the total volume of the token traded rose by 43%. The Bitcoin price was trading at $43,914 at press time.
Fundamentals
Bitcoin price has posted significant gains over the past few days, climbing to its highest level since April 2022, before the crash of a stablecoin that started a litany of company failures, pummeling crypto prices. The world’s largest cryptocurrency briefly topped the crucial level of $44,000 on Wednesday amid rising momentum despite being massively overbought.
According to analysts, with no spot bitcoin ETF approvals yet and the halving event five to six months away, the market is riding on FOMO. Capital has been flowing in the Bitcoin market amid enthusiasm that the launches of spot ETF will bring in billions of dollars of new investment into the crypto sector.
Investors have already started providing capital as seed money for ETF products. Notably, a recent report by CoinDesk showed that the world’s largest fund manager, BlackRock, received $100,000 in capital from a seed investor for its spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund…
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