The broad cryptocurrency landscape continues to trace out a major-degree corrective phase that was born into existence about two weeks before the end of the last calendar year. That makes this process now roughly 7 months old.
The crypto world moves at a fast pace relative to other markets, and 7 months is a lifetime, so traders and investors are doubtless hard on the search for tangible signals of a coming change in character in the charts.
Naturally, for much of the general public, Bitcoin is somewhat synonymous with the cryptocurrency complex. In a sense, it functions as almost a major index or average – like the S&P 500. While this is far from true in any literal sense, the correlation framework that defines cryptocurrencies in general often reinforces this intuitive notion perhaps more than it should.
Hence, whether justified or not, in many important ways it is hard to get away from the sense that, as Bitcoin goes, so goes crypto.
As such, when we take a close look at the Bitcoin (BTC) chart, we are looking at the defining trend for the complex as a whole. And that trend is quite clearly “down”, and has been for the better part of the past eight months.
Without question, the key level to appreciate here is the $6000 level. In terms of closing prices, this level more or less held as key support back in early November of last year, before the most significant and maniacal portion of the Bitcoin bubble sprint higher from mid-November to mid-December.
This same level also played a significant part in defining the lows that Bitcoin reached in early February of this year. And, as fate would have it, this is just about the level at which we held that key support late last month.
It is not insignificant to note that the lows recorded in BTC in April 2017 – as a final check before the parabolic move higher began – were right around the $1000 level. If one establishes this level as the defining low point in a Fibonacci retracement ruler, then the $6000 level is also a near-perfect 78.6% Fib retracement of the entire bubble run.
However, perhaps the most important point is this: we recently saw a break underneath the March/April 2018 lows, followed by a test of the underside of the $6000 level, further followed by a grinding rally that has now lasted nearly two weeks. This rally has not been accompanied by any true game-changing positives for Bitcoin in terms of news or headline drivers.
This is a bit of a red flag for bears holding short interest in the BTC futures: a test of new lows that gives way to a sharp rally on no new bullish catalysts can often be a sign of a selling exhaustion point.
Hence, one may make a case that the BTC chart is beginning finally to carve out the ingredients of a base under construction. Stay tuned!
As one might expect, looking at the ETH chart is very similar to looking at the Bitcoin chart. The correlation between BTC and ETH has been quite high since midway through last year.
However, we have begun to see a bit of a divergence in recent action that suggests some favoritism toward ETH during the immediate future as compared to Bitcoin.
The divergence is built off the fact that, while Bitcoin broke beneath its March/April 2018 lows during June trade, ETH held above that same pivot point on its own chart, putting in sharp support at the very important $400 level.
At the same time, Ethereum (ETH) was able to carve out a pivot at an extreme oversold reading on the RSI chart, but a positive divergence relative to the same point on the RSI oscillator seen several months ago at the key pivot low.
While this may signal a potential for bullish action ahead in ETH, it is important that traders not get carried away with the small timeframe signals.
The fact still remains that, in the case of both of these coins, and in the larger case defining the crypto landscape in general, we are dealing with charts that are mostly still solidly underneath their major moving averages, with many of them moving underneath downward sloped averages.
In such a situation, the odds don’t favor aggressive long positioning until some level of further technical confirmation starts to rear its head on the charts.
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Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide, investment advice. Global Coin Report and/or its affiliates, employees, writers, and subcontractors are cryptocurrency investors and from time to time may or may not have holdings in some of the coins or tokens they cover. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency and read our full disclaimer.
Image courtesy of Pexels
Charts courtesy of tradingview.com
Why Chinese New Year Affects Bitcoin (BTC)
Bitcoin (BTC) lost about $100 in value in the last week, and, while reasons behind the drop in crypto prices can often be hidden and unclear — this time, that is not the case. The reason for this drop is believed to be the celebration of the Chinese New Year.
The New Year celebration was over more than a month ago for most of the modern world. However, things are a bit different in China. This is a country which is considered to be one of the oldest ones in the world, with a long and complex history. The country’s traditions are fascinating to many around the world, as so many of them are different from western culture. One of these traditions is the Chinese New Year.
The New Year celebrations in China start on January 28th, which was a week ago. The New Year itself is today, February 5th, although the celebrations and festivities are going to last until February 19th. For the people of China, and all those around the world who follow the country’s tradition, this is the time to relax, take a break, and perhaps travel and visit friends and family. But, what does it have to do with Bitcoin?
China and Bitcoin
Those who are new to the world of cryptocurrencies have likely already heard many stories about China banning Bitcoin trading and…
EO.Finance Launches Highest Paying Crypto Referral Program of 2019
The EO Referral Program, already touted to be a significant addition to the ecosystem has been launched, and more details can finally be revealed. Offering 30% of transaction fees for each referral, it is expected to be the highest paying crypto referral program of 2019.
Each user will receive their own unique invite link, which can be shared with friends or via social media, in order to start earning 30% of the companies fees for every transaction made by someone who registered using their unique link. Furthermore, receive 5% of the fees for each new referral introduced by your own referral, increasing earning potential and adding even more benefits to an already feature-packed ecosystem. The fact the ecosystem supports credit and debit card transactions, as well as more than 40 cryptocurrencies means it will be even easier for you to start earning from your referrals.
The EO Referral Program will also extend to EO.Trade following launch, meaning it will be possible to earn from a single referrals transactions across multiple products within the EO ecosystem. It is important to note that the figure of 30% is significantly more than most competitors offer.
Payment will be made in the same currency as was purchased or exchanged. Withdrawal of the profits earned via the program can be made instantly, meaning you can earn immediately from your referral.…
Is Bitcoin (BTC) Ready for Another Surge?
It is no secret that Bitcoin (BTC) has had a rough 2018. The coin has dropped by over 80% from its all-time high in a matter of months, it experienced two market crashes, a constantly bearish market, and even troubles within its own ecosystem. Crypto investors spent the entire year hoping for a surge that never arrived, and since BTC is the most influential coin within the crypto space, its behavior usually dictates the pace for other coins as well.
Then, the year finally ended, and investors believed they could finally start anew, hoping to see BTC perform better in 2019. While Bitcoin is certainly performing better than in 2018, the current state of things is still far away from a rally. However, there is a possibility that this might change in the future.
Projects that could have sparked the next rally
As mentioned, crypto investors around the world were hoping to see a new price surge with the arrival of the new year. So far, this has not happened, and while there were several events believed to be able to boost BTC value, several complications prevent them from occurring.
One of them is the launch of the Bakkt Bitcoin Futures Exchange, which was scheduled to happen on January 24th. However, due to the long-lasting US government shutdown, the exchange failed…
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