Bitcoin
Bitcoin Price Outlook Ahead of Powell’s Speech
Bitcoin price has been relatively stable over the past few days after volatility picked up during the weekend, pushing the price lower by more than 3%. At the time of writing, the flagship cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, was trading at $26,255.55. As it continues to dominate the crypto market, ranking 1st, its total market capitalization slightly declined over the past day to $5.12 billion. Additionally, the total volume of BTC traded over the same period slumped by more than 32%.
Economic Concerns
Data published on Tuesday showed that the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index declined in September to 103.0, down from a revised 108.7 in August. This was its lowest level since May 2023 and marked two consecutive months of decline. The Present Situation Index, which measures consumers’ assessment of current business and labor conditions, rose slightly to 147.1 from 146.7.
The Expectations Index, which measures the consumers’ near-term prospects for business, income, and labor market conditions, dipped to 73.7 in September, down from 83.3 in the prior month. The Expectations Index fell below the crucial level of 80, which signals a recession within the next year. Consumer fears of a looming recession also ticked higher in September amid the short-term economic contraction anticipated in the first half of 2024.
Focus will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Thursday which is likely to add volatility and create a bearish environment for traders. As such, investors need to be cautious this week when dealing with cryptocurrencies. This comes after the US Federal Reserve decided to pause its interest rate hike campaign in last week’s meeting, suggesting that another hike is due this year. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing in an 83% chance of another pause in November, raising expectations for a 0.25% hike in December.
Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis
Bitcoin price has been on a downward trajectory for the past few days, dropping below the pivotal support level of $26,500. Despite several attempts, the digital asset has failed to flip the major resistance hurdle at $27,500, prompting a retraction. The prevailing conditions suggest a continuous decline in Bitcoin price, possibly breaking below the crucial support of $26,000 in the ensuing sessions.
As seen on the daily chart, the premier cryptocurrency remains below the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages, as well as the 50-day and 100-day simple moving averages. Its Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 45, below the signal line and the neutral level. The Bollinger bands have narrowed over the past few days, hinting at a decline in volatility, with the upper band slightly above the EMAs.
Consequently, a breakout above the hurdle at the $26,900 level, could push the price higher toward $27,000 and subsequently $27,500. However, failure to break above the aforementioned level might pave the way for a further decline to the immediate support at $25,825.60 and potentially $25,330.
BTC Price Chart
Bitcoin price dumped hard on Monday, briefly slipping below $41,000, erasing gains recorded in the previous week. The premier cryptocurrency seems to have exhausted its recent rally propelled by industry vulnerabilities. At the time of writing, the world’s largest cryptocurrency was trading slightly lower at $41,385. Bitcoin’s total market cap has dipped by 2% over the past day, while the total volume of BTC tokens traded over the same period climbed by 58%.
Fundamentals
Bitcoin price has been facing retracements and a rollercoaster over the past few days after recently rocketing to a 20-month peak. On-chain data has suggested that many investors used the opportunity to take some profits, leading to a decline in the asset’s price.
Bitcoin’s price slump is mirrored in the wider crypto market, with the global crypto market cap decreasing by 1.85% over the past 24 hours to $1.55 trillion. The total crypto market volume has increased by 32% over the same period. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has plunged from a level of extreme greed to a greed level of 70, suggesting a decline in risk appetite.
Ethereum, the largest altcoin by market capitalization, is currently trading at $2,167, down almost 3% for the day. Meme coins have been hit hard by the market slump, with Dogecoin and Shiba Inu down by more than 4% over the last day.
Last week on Thursday, cryptocurrency experts took notice of…
Bitcoin price edged lower on Thursday despite optimism in wider markets on the back of the Fed’s interest rate decision. The flagship cryptocurrency has been consolidating above the critical level of $42,000 after briefly topping $44,000, its highest level in 20 months. Bitcoin was trading 0.71% lower at $42,569 at press time. BTC’s total market cap has increased by more than 3% over the last day to $832 billion, while the total volume of the asset traded over the same period jumped by 22%.
Economic Outlook
Bitcoin price has been trading sideways over the past few days, suggesting a pause in its recent rally towards $45,000. The premier cryptocurrency has decreased by 4% in the past week but remains 15.22% higher in the month to date. The digital asset has staged a significant recovery this year after a torrid 2022 in which a string of scandals, including the collapse of FTX, led to a market meltdown, undermining the credibility of the sector.
The crypto market has been buoyed by the Fed’s latest interest rate decision. The US Federal Reserve on Wednesday held its key interest rate unchanged for the third consecutive time, in line with market expectations. With the easing of the inflation rate, members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to keep the benchmark overnight borrowing rate in a targeted range between 5.25%-5.5%.
Additionally, the central bank indicated that three rate…
Bitcoin price has been hovering above the $43,000 psychological level over the past two days amid anticipation about the potential approval of a spot bitcoin ETF. The flagship cryptocurrency has climbed more than 16% in the past week and nearly 170% in the year to date. Bitcoin’s total market cap has increased by nearly 5% over the past 24 hours to $858.9 billion, while the total volume of the token traded rose by 43%. The Bitcoin price was trading at $43,914 at press time.
Fundamentals
Bitcoin price has posted significant gains over the past few days, climbing to its highest level since April 2022, before the crash of a stablecoin that started a litany of company failures, pummeling crypto prices. The world’s largest cryptocurrency briefly topped the crucial level of $44,000 on Wednesday amid rising momentum despite being massively overbought.
According to analysts, with no spot bitcoin ETF approvals yet and the halving event five to six months away, the market is riding on FOMO. Capital has been flowing in the Bitcoin market amid enthusiasm that the launches of spot ETF will bring in billions of dollars of new investment into the crypto sector.
Investors have already started providing capital as seed money for ETF products. Notably, a recent report by CoinDesk showed that the world’s largest fund manager, BlackRock, received $100,000 in capital from a seed investor for its spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund…
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