Last week was just murder for Bitcoin. It dropped significantly twice, and it had already gone down for more than 11 months. So there are two questions in the mind of every crypto enthusiast in the world. First, when is Bitcoin going to start recovering value again? Second, when is Bitcoin going to reach an all-time high again?
We think it unavoidable for Bitcoin to recover, and we also think it inevitable for it to reach unprecedented heights at some point in the future. When? We don’t know to be honest.
But there are cryptocurrency observers who think they do have an answer, even a date. In this article, we will explain their arguments. We can’t assure you they’re right, but information is power, so this is probably an idea everybody should know about.
— Jason K. Morrell (@CNNJason) November 23, 2018
We’ll start with the answer; then we give you the explanation. The next Bitcoin hyperjump will start on May 2020. It will prompt a huge and prolonged bull run that will culminate on December 2021. By then Bitcoin will be around 100k in price. Fascinating, isn’t it?
Before we give you the rationale behind that answer, we’ll give you the context you’ll need to understand it.
As you surely know, Bitcoin needs to be mined. This means that a bunch of enthusiasts all over the world (well, mainly in China) use a lot of computer power to solve a mathematical problem known as an “SHA-256 collision”.
Since it has no analytical solution, it must be calculated randomly, using a computer, and that takes time. This creates a “chain” of “blocks” (hence, “blockchain”), one at a time, and with every new block, a number of new Bitcoins are created. How many? Good question!
In the beginning, every new block created 50 new bitcoins. But Satoshi (the mythical digital superhero who created Bitcoin) wanted to avoid inflation in the Bitcoin environment, so he designed the protocol to make the total amount of tokens limited and progressively harder to mine.
One of the ways in which this goal is achieved is that, every so often, the number of coins created by every new block is halved. So, for instance, after November 28th, 2012, only 25 coins are produced per new block, and after July 9th, 12.5 coins. Next halving event is on May 2020 (you see where we’re going?).
Historically, each time that a halving has been implemented, the Bitcoin prices go through the roof. It happened in 2012, then in 2016. So, many observers are utterly convinced that the next halving event, in May 2020, will also bring about an epic rise in price that will dwarf any of the previous Bitcoin bull runs.
That’s it. That’s what some aficionados are expecting, and that’s the reason supporting their expectations.
But how reliable is this? It’s really hard to say. While it could indeed be a legitimate phenomenon, the fact is that Bitcoin is too young, there have been only two halvings, and there’s not enough data (or data analysis) to guarantee that every halving is going to jumpstart Bitcoin again.
So while this is an idea every serious observer in the crypto verse should know, it should be taken with a grain of salt because, so far, it’s impossible to say it’s not merely anecdotal. Lots of things happen around Bitcoin besides halvings. Now you know, though. We hope it will become useful information to you.
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Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide, investment advice. Global Coin Report and its affiliates, employees, writers, and subcontractors are cryptocurrency investors and from time to time may or may not have holdings in some of the coins or tokens they cover. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency and read our full disclaimer.
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