As Bitcoin alongside the whole market keeps going down there’s a question in everybody’s mind: are we at the bottom yet? This is not a pessimistic question at all. We all know that the market will recover sooner or later, but we also know that won’t happen until it reaches rock bottom. So what answers do we have?
Well, there are no sure answers, but technical analysis can bring some light into the question and, maybe, guide the way.
Some twelve hours ago, Bitcoin was at around $4100 and the chart allowed to apply a model called “cup and handle.” Without going into technical and mathematical detail, this model is a prediction that says the price will go down as if rolling down inside a bowl, reach the bottom, and then go back out rising on the bowl’s opposite side. One of the most popular projections using this model extends from today until next March (that would be the time at which the market will be steadily rising again).
According to the “cup and handle” Bitcoin still has a long way to go down. Probably as low as 3000.00 USD before it will bounce back and rise again. At this point, it should skyrocket.
The next pertinent question would be how accurate is the “cup and handle” model. Well, the thing about technical analysis is that it is has nothing to do with certainties but with probabilities. Nothing is written in stone, the best you can say about it is that it’s likely.
Some analysts give this prediction a probability as high as 70%, but the truth of the matter is that we still lack enough relevant data to support it. And that’s one of the reasons why buyers are staying away from bitcoin and sellers dominate the market. There’s just not enough data about the long-term to make an educated choice.
One thing that’s been materializing over the last half a day is that Bitcoin has been going down very quickly. It’s at $3,739 as we write this. Since it’s broken so many psychological barriers this year, it’s quite likely that it will keep going down and hit $3,000 some time not too far in the future.
It could even be this week, but there’s no way to know. It keeps going down as we write this article, so the answer to the article’s question is, quite clearly that no, we have not gone all the way down yet.
The good news is that the Bitcoin market shows signs of maturity, even as it plummets. The current BTC trading volume is of roughly 6.5 billion, and it remains the most traded asset with a market share of 54%. It’s expected for this share to go up to 57% as it keeps losing value and people traders try to get rid of their bitcoins.
Just to finish, don’t let your wishful thinking get the best of you. Bitcoin (BTC) could bounce back at any moment, but for the trend to be broken, a change in price is not enough. It has to be accompanied by a massive increase in trading volumes.
Until both things happen at the same time, any rise in Bitcoin price will be fake, just a natural market fluctuation that will be meaningless regarding the bigger picture. So just be patient and disciplined. Keep watching the market. It will bottom out, and the right time to get in will come soon.
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Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide, investment advice. Global Coin Report and its affiliates, employees, writers, and subcontractors are cryptocurrency investors and from time to time may or may not have holdings in some of the coins or tokens they cover. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency and read our full disclaimer.
Image Courtesy of Pixabay.
Why Chinese New Year Affects Bitcoin (BTC)
Bitcoin (BTC) lost about $100 in value in the last week, and, while reasons behind the drop in crypto prices can often be hidden and unclear — this time, that is not the case. The reason for this drop is believed to be the celebration of the Chinese New Year.
The New Year celebration was over more than a month ago for most of the modern world. However, things are a bit different in China. This is a country which is considered to be one of the oldest ones in the world, with a long and complex history. The country’s traditions are fascinating to many around the world, as so many of them are different from western culture. One of these traditions is the Chinese New Year.
The New Year celebrations in China start on January 28th, which was a week ago. The New Year itself is today, February 5th, although the celebrations and festivities are going to last until February 19th. For the people of China, and all those around the world who follow the country’s tradition, this is the time to relax, take a break, and perhaps travel and visit friends and family. But, what does it have to do with Bitcoin?
China and Bitcoin
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EO.Finance Launches Highest Paying Crypto Referral Program of 2019
The EO Referral Program, already touted to be a significant addition to the ecosystem has been launched, and more details can finally be revealed. Offering 30% of transaction fees for each referral, it is expected to be the highest paying crypto referral program of 2019.
Each user will receive their own unique invite link, which can be shared with friends or via social media, in order to start earning 30% of the companies fees for every transaction made by someone who registered using their unique link. Furthermore, receive 5% of the fees for each new referral introduced by your own referral, increasing earning potential and adding even more benefits to an already feature-packed ecosystem. The fact the ecosystem supports credit and debit card transactions, as well as more than 40 cryptocurrencies means it will be even easier for you to start earning from your referrals.
The EO Referral Program will also extend to EO.Trade following launch, meaning it will be possible to earn from a single referrals transactions across multiple products within the EO ecosystem. It is important to note that the figure of 30% is significantly more than most competitors offer.
Payment will be made in the same currency as was purchased or exchanged. Withdrawal of the profits earned via the program can be made instantly, meaning you can earn immediately from your referral.…
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It is no secret that Bitcoin (BTC) has had a rough 2018. The coin has dropped by over 80% from its all-time high in a matter of months, it experienced two market crashes, a constantly bearish market, and even troubles within its own ecosystem. Crypto investors spent the entire year hoping for a surge that never arrived, and since BTC is the most influential coin within the crypto space, its behavior usually dictates the pace for other coins as well.
Then, the year finally ended, and investors believed they could finally start anew, hoping to see BTC perform better in 2019. While Bitcoin is certainly performing better than in 2018, the current state of things is still far away from a rally. However, there is a possibility that this might change in the future.
Projects that could have sparked the next rally
As mentioned, crypto investors around the world were hoping to see a new price surge with the arrival of the new year. So far, this has not happened, and while there were several events believed to be able to boost BTC value, several complications prevent them from occurring.
One of them is the launch of the Bakkt Bitcoin Futures Exchange, which was scheduled to happen on January 24th. However, due to the long-lasting US government shutdown, the exchange failed…
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