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Ethereum (ETH) Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Price Analysis – Scoping Out a Capitulatory Opportunity

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Ethereum
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Given the indisputable bear cycle that we have witnessed in the crypto complex for essentially the entirety of 2018, and given the relatively sparse options that traders have at hand to take advantage of short side strategies in this asset class, generally speaking, the game that most everyone is playing here has something to do with market timing around a bottom-picking strategy.

Bear markets make bottoms by exhausting a supply of sellers. It’s a process that is about gauging the “lean” of the marketplace across a number of time frames. For both Ethereum (ETH) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH), we see this process as potentially nearing that golden inflection point. As such, our goal today is to examine the charts for these two coins with the objective of scenario-building based on years of experience across many different assets given the technical picture often involved in defining major turning points.

Ethereum (ETH)

Price Analysis:

  • High: $445.98
  • Low: $429.00
  • Major Resistance Level: $500
  • Hourly MACD: Steady Downside Momentum

Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

 Ethereum (ETH) continues to evidence the modal character of a downward trending market on multiple time frames. But, over the course of the trend from the early May highs to its present position probing support near the 400 level, we can begin to understand some of the ways in which this market might play out a type of capitulatory purge that may well represent the impetus for a consensus lean necessary to mark out conditions consistent with a cycle low scenario.

The idea here is about constructing a reasonable hypothesis about a broad psychological “give up” point. In other words, what would this market have to do to make current “fast money” longs jump ship and give up?

It may well be that this is exactly what is necessary to exacerbate the downside enough to mark out a capitulatory low that could be highly valuable as an entry point for prospective bulls waiting in the wings.

Based on the image above, we can see a trend line that connects the lows from 2017 during the summer with the lows logged in late March and early April. The simultaneous break below this trend line, that would no doubt also represent a break underneath the critical $400 level, might well force current holders of this coin to capitulate and throw in the towel, thus exacerbating the downside movement to a point beyond its natural inflection level.

If we see such a market event, and if it comes on above-average volume over the course of several days, one should be watching this coin closely for an immediate snapback or rebound that suggests that the overshooting dynamic has blossomed and played out, thus creating the potential for a patiently earned low-risk speculative entry point with a fixed point of risk at the lows of the capitulatory spike.

Bitcoin Cash (BCH)

Price Analysis:

  • High: $706
  • Low: $673.8
  • Major Resistance Level: $1000
  • Hourly MACD: Steady Downside Momentum

Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is actually in a very similar technical posture to Ethereum (ETH). In this case, with BCH, the key level to watch is at $600.

Here as well, we see a recent and persistent downward trend from late April and early May that has led to a retest of lows logged right around the end of the first fiscal quarter. To further highlight the similarities, there is an important trend line in play here as well, but this one has already been broken, suggesting this decline is in a more advanced phase.

While the correlations between the two, and between both of these and the larger cryptocurrency complex, are clearly dramatic and profound, the fundamental precepts of technical analysis suggest that that’s no excuse for diligent study of the action on the chart.

We often see dynamics that may be explained away by larger asset class phenomena, but that also contain important nuances. And in the case of these coins, the inherent volatility within their localized patterns is great enough that any edge can produce enormous and even game-changing differences for traders positioning themselves here.

However, with Bitcoin Cash (BCH) – as with Ethereum (ETH) – the trend remains to the downside suggesting the importance of an opportunistic and patient approach. This implies the importance of watching for overly dramatic movement to assign some degree of probability to an opportunity to play countertrend.

In this case, one may be wise to wait for a new all-time lows print on oscillators such as the 14-day RSI, confirming the sense that the extremes of selling represent an aberration from typical statistical assumptions.

Happy Trading!!

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Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide, investment advice. Global Coin Report and/or its affiliates, employees, writers, and subcontractors are cryptocurrency investors and from time to time may or may not have holdings in some of the coins or tokens they cover. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency and read our full disclaimer.

Image courtesy of Pexels

Charts courtesy of tradingview.com

Altcoins

SonicX and Dash Could Challenge Facebook’s Libra for Global Payments Market Share

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SonicX
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When Satoshi Nakamoto unveiled Bitcoin to the world, the dream was always for Bitcoin to serve as a new universal currency.  It would be free from the bureaucracy of governments.  And free from the tyranny of the old-world financial cartels.  Although the dream hasn’t yet materialized, it comes closer and closer with each passing day.

One of the biggest roadblocks for Bitcoin has been scalability.  At a speed of approximately 7 transactions per second, Bitcoin lags behind other cryptocurrencies like Ripple and global payment processors like Visa.  Many expect the lightning network to have a positive impact on Bitcoin’s TPS but until that comes to fruition, mass adoption will likely need another significant development.

Libra Currency Announcement

One development that could help pave the way toward mass adoption is the launch of the Libra currency.  Libra is expected to go live during the first half of 2020 according to Facebook’s June announcement.  According to Facebook, Libra will make sending money online cheaper and faster.  It will also have a hand in improving access to financial services, especially for the unbanked.  Given Facebook’s global reach, including many third world countries, providing financial access to the unbanked could provide a huge spark to global economies.  Additionally, it could provide the growth spark that cryptocurrency needs.

Facebook’s most popular messenger, WhatsApp, has approximately 1.5 billion monthly users.  This application is…

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Bitcoin

Investors Beware: Another Large Bitcoin Crash Might Be Coming

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Bitcoin crash
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The crypto prices have surged quite high in the last few months. Of course, their progress is nowhere near the one seen in 2017, but they appear to be getting there, one day at the time. However, things might not be as simple as that, and according to recent performance — it is more than possible that a major Bitcoin crash is incoming.

The fact is that cryptos saw a massive amount of growth in a very short period. Bitcoin itself more than doubled its price in only two months. Now, the rally is starting to crash in on itself, and the coin is already about $1,000 lower than last week. If such development does come to pass, a lot of people will experience quite large losses, although experienced investors might find some opportunities, and leverage in order to enhance their holdings’ long-term value.

For example, Bitcoin dominance is expected to crash very quickly, which will work in favor of quite a lot of altcoins. While this does not seem to be the best time to invest in BTC, altcoins are another story, and diversifying a portfolio now might end up being very profitable in days to come.

Bitcoin behavior mirrors the pre-bear market situation

The crash that analysts are predicting right now comes as a direct consequence of all the hype that has been building up in…

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Altcoins

Top 3 Coins to Buy Before They Go Big

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coins
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Crypto bulls are back, that much is clear. The long-lasting, harsh crypto winter is gone, and the new era in digital currency sector opens up some rather interesting opportunities. With many more bull runs expected to come in months ahead, a lot of coins are likely to blow up and maybe even hit new all-time highs, although that still remains purely theoretical.

On the other hand, the fact is that numerous coins are seeing prices that were not achieved since early 2018, and the overall momentum remains bullish. With that in mind, even if new records do not come for a very long time — chances are that many of the coins will blow up enough for investors to see some serious gains in months to come. As a result, investing in some of these coins now might be a very profitable decision, for those who have the patience to wait a few months. Here are some of the projects believed to have the greatest potential to go big in the second half of 2019 and beyond.

1. TRON (TRX)

Putting TRON on the list should not really surprise anyone, as the project constantly comes up with new project updates, partnerships, and alike. It also constantly breaks records, as is becoming one of the biggest players in the dApp and smart contract development sector.

In the past few…

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