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Ethereum (ETH) Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Price Analysis – Scoping Out a Capitulatory Opportunity

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Ethereum
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Given the indisputable bear cycle that we have witnessed in the crypto complex for essentially the entirety of 2018, and given the relatively sparse options that traders have at hand to take advantage of short side strategies in this asset class, generally speaking, the game that most everyone is playing here has something to do with market timing around a bottom-picking strategy.

Bear markets make bottoms by exhausting a supply of sellers. It’s a process that is about gauging the “lean” of the marketplace across a number of time frames. For both Ethereum (ETH) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH), we see this process as potentially nearing that golden inflection point. As such, our goal today is to examine the charts for these two coins with the objective of scenario-building based on years of experience across many different assets given the technical picture often involved in defining major turning points.

Ethereum (ETH)

Price Analysis:

  • High: $445.98
  • Low: $429.00
  • Major Resistance Level: $500
  • Hourly MACD: Steady Downside Momentum

Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

 Ethereum (ETH) continues to evidence the modal character of a downward trending market on multiple time frames. But, over the course of the trend from the early May highs to its present position probing support near the 400 level, we can begin to understand some of the ways in which this market might play out a type of capitulatory purge that may well represent the impetus for a consensus lean necessary to mark out conditions consistent with a cycle low scenario.

The idea here is about constructing a reasonable hypothesis about a broad psychological “give up” point. In other words, what would this market have to do to make current “fast money” longs jump ship and give up?

It may well be that this is exactly what is necessary to exacerbate the downside enough to mark out a capitulatory low that could be highly valuable as an entry point for prospective bulls waiting in the wings.

Based on the image above, we can see a trend line that connects the lows from 2017 during the summer with the lows logged in late March and early April. The simultaneous break below this trend line, that would no doubt also represent a break underneath the critical $400 level, might well force current holders of this coin to capitulate and throw in the towel, thus exacerbating the downside movement to a point beyond its natural inflection level.

If we see such a market event, and if it comes on above-average volume over the course of several days, one should be watching this coin closely for an immediate snapback or rebound that suggests that the overshooting dynamic has blossomed and played out, thus creating the potential for a patiently earned low-risk speculative entry point with a fixed point of risk at the lows of the capitulatory spike.

Bitcoin Cash (BCH)

Price Analysis:

  • High: $706
  • Low: $673.8
  • Major Resistance Level: $1000
  • Hourly MACD: Steady Downside Momentum

Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is actually in a very similar technical posture to Ethereum (ETH). In this case, with BCH, the key level to watch is at $600.

Here as well, we see a recent and persistent downward trend from late April and early May that has led to a retest of lows logged right around the end of the first fiscal quarter. To further highlight the similarities, there is an important trend line in play here as well, but this one has already been broken, suggesting this decline is in a more advanced phase.

While the correlations between the two, and between both of these and the larger cryptocurrency complex, are clearly dramatic and profound, the fundamental precepts of technical analysis suggest that that’s no excuse for diligent study of the action on the chart.

We often see dynamics that may be explained away by larger asset class phenomena, but that also contain important nuances. And in the case of these coins, the inherent volatility within their localized patterns is great enough that any edge can produce enormous and even game-changing differences for traders positioning themselves here.

However, with Bitcoin Cash (BCH) – as with Ethereum (ETH) – the trend remains to the downside suggesting the importance of an opportunistic and patient approach. This implies the importance of watching for overly dramatic movement to assign some degree of probability to an opportunity to play countertrend.

In this case, one may be wise to wait for a new all-time lows print on oscillators such as the 14-day RSI, confirming the sense that the extremes of selling represent an aberration from typical statistical assumptions.

Happy Trading!!

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Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide, investment advice. Global Coin Report and/or its affiliates, employees, writers, and subcontractors are cryptocurrency investors and from time to time may or may not have holdings in some of the coins or tokens they cover. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency and read our full disclaimer.

Image courtesy of Pexels

Charts courtesy of tradingview.com

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Reasons Why You Are Much Safer When Crypto Trading on Dexes

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DEXes
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While many cryptocurrencies aim to bring the change to the world by bringing full decentralization, one aspect of the crypto space still remains mostly centralized, and that is the way they are exchanged. Most crypto exchanges are centralized companies, where traders and investors need to deposit their coins for safekeeping. This is a risky way to handle the funds, as exchanges remain susceptible to hacks and theft, as many realized recently, after the hack of the world’s largest exchange by trading volume, Binance.

During the hack, around 7,000 BTC (over $40 million) was taken, and sent to multiple wallets, never to be seen again — for now, at least. The hack also came as quite a shock, as Binance was known for its efficiency, security, and high levels of confidence. It also made people realize that their coins are not really theirs if they need to rely on third parties, such as exchanges, to keep them safe. As a result, many are now turning away from centralized exchanges, and are heading towards decentralized ones — also known as DEXes.

Here are some reasons why you might want to consider doing the same.

1. True ownership of your coins

The crypto community has a saying: “not your keys, not your coins.” The saying is now more relevant than ever, but it does not apply on DEXes. Decentralized exchanges

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Blogs

Crypto Billionaire Predicts Massive Price Growth by 2021

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crypto billionaire
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Crypto prices are once again going up, and Bitcoin has just passed a major resistance level at $6,000. With a situation like that, it is not surprising that everyone in the crypto community is looking forward to the future, wondering what to expect in years to come. Many experts have already given their predictions, some more optimistic than others, but almost all bullish.

Crypto billionaire Mike Novogratz has always been very supportive of cryptocurrencies, and very bullish on Bitcoin. He recently stated that he sees the coins’ prices triple in the following 18 months, meaning that Bitcoin’s return to $20,000 might not be far away, according to him.

He noted that Bitcoin is back to $6,000 after its price hit as low as $3,100 only a few months ago. These days, Novogratz does not believe Bitcoin will return to such lows unless there is a devastating exchange hack or a major shift in regulations. Of course, there was a big hack that had the potential to damage the coin’s price, only days ago. The world’s largest crypto exchange by trading volume, Binance, saw a significant security breach which resulted in a theft of 7,000 BTC.

However, so far, the coin did not react negatively to this incident. While Novogratz believed that such an event would shatter the new confidence in BTC, it simply did not happen. However, he…

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Altcoins

TokenRoll (TKR) Platform Will Take Online Casinos to the Next Level

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TokenRoll
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Corporate executives are turning to blockchain technology more than ever in an attempt to revolutionize the business world.  Although blockchain is still a relatively new concept, that hasn’t stopped more and more companies from jumping on the bandwagon.  This hot new technology has quickly gained a reputation for providing greater transparency, enhanced security, improved traceability, increased efficiency, and low costs.  One industry that could certainly benefit from decentralization is the online gambling market, specifically, online casinos.  TokenRoll (TKR) has developed a platform that appears to offer a promising alternative to centralized casinos.

Problems with Centralized Casinos

The primary reason why blockchain technology is being implemented so quickly is because it solves a lot of the problems typically associated with the traditional business model.  And online casinos are no different.  It still needs to be said that centralized casinos have proven that there is a great demand for online gambling.  The market is growing faster than anyone could have predicted, and future opportunities appear very promising and lucrative.  But industries are continually evolving and this one is no different.

A few of the problems facing centralized casinos include the following:

  • Little to no transparency
  • Consumer lack of confidence
  • Privacy concerns
  • 48-72 hour wait time for withdrawals

These are four monumental issues that need to be addressed quickly given the global growth of the market.  Casinos need to…

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