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Ethereum (ETH) Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Price Analysis – Scoping Out a Capitulatory Opportunity

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Ethereum
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Given the indisputable bear cycle that we have witnessed in the crypto complex for essentially the entirety of 2018, and given the relatively sparse options that traders have at hand to take advantage of short side strategies in this asset class, generally speaking, the game that most everyone is playing here has something to do with market timing around a bottom-picking strategy.

Bear markets make bottoms by exhausting a supply of sellers. It’s a process that is about gauging the “lean” of the marketplace across a number of time frames. For both Ethereum (ETH) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH), we see this process as potentially nearing that golden inflection point. As such, our goal today is to examine the charts for these two coins with the objective of scenario-building based on years of experience across many different assets given the technical picture often involved in defining major turning points.

Ethereum (ETH)

Price Analysis:

  • High: $445.98
  • Low: $429.00
  • Major Resistance Level: $500
  • Hourly MACD: Steady Downside Momentum

Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

 Ethereum (ETH) continues to evidence the modal character of a downward trending market on multiple time frames. But, over the course of the trend from the early May highs to its present position probing support near the 400 level, we can begin to understand some of the ways in which this market might play out a type of capitulatory purge that may well represent the impetus for a consensus lean necessary to mark out conditions consistent with a cycle low scenario.

The idea here is about constructing a reasonable hypothesis about a broad psychological “give up” point. In other words, what would this market have to do to make current “fast money” longs jump ship and give up?

It may well be that this is exactly what is necessary to exacerbate the downside enough to mark out a capitulatory low that could be highly valuable as an entry point for prospective bulls waiting in the wings.

Based on the image above, we can see a trend line that connects the lows from 2017 during the summer with the lows logged in late March and early April. The simultaneous break below this trend line, that would no doubt also represent a break underneath the critical $400 level, might well force current holders of this coin to capitulate and throw in the towel, thus exacerbating the downside movement to a point beyond its natural inflection level.

If we see such a market event, and if it comes on above-average volume over the course of several days, one should be watching this coin closely for an immediate snapback or rebound that suggests that the overshooting dynamic has blossomed and played out, thus creating the potential for a patiently earned low-risk speculative entry point with a fixed point of risk at the lows of the capitulatory spike.

Bitcoin Cash (BCH)

Price Analysis:

  • High: $706
  • Low: $673.8
  • Major Resistance Level: $1000
  • Hourly MACD: Steady Downside Momentum

Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is actually in a very similar technical posture to Ethereum (ETH). In this case, with BCH, the key level to watch is at $600.

Here as well, we see a recent and persistent downward trend from late April and early May that has led to a retest of lows logged right around the end of the first fiscal quarter. To further highlight the similarities, there is an important trend line in play here as well, but this one has already been broken, suggesting this decline is in a more advanced phase.

While the correlations between the two, and between both of these and the larger cryptocurrency complex, are clearly dramatic and profound, the fundamental precepts of technical analysis suggest that that’s no excuse for diligent study of the action on the chart.

We often see dynamics that may be explained away by larger asset class phenomena, but that also contain important nuances. And in the case of these coins, the inherent volatility within their localized patterns is great enough that any edge can produce enormous and even game-changing differences for traders positioning themselves here.

However, with Bitcoin Cash (BCH) – as with Ethereum (ETH) – the trend remains to the downside suggesting the importance of an opportunistic and patient approach. This implies the importance of watching for overly dramatic movement to assign some degree of probability to an opportunity to play countertrend.

In this case, one may be wise to wait for a new all-time lows print on oscillators such as the 14-day RSI, confirming the sense that the extremes of selling represent an aberration from typical statistical assumptions.

Happy Trading!!

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Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide, investment advice. Global Coin Report and/or its affiliates, employees, writers, and subcontractors are cryptocurrency investors and from time to time may or may not have holdings in some of the coins or tokens they cover. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency and read our full disclaimer.

Image courtesy of Pexels

Charts courtesy of tradingview.com

Altcoins

HODLing Stellar Is A Good Plan For 2019

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HODLing
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HODLing, or holding on to a certain asset or assets has always been an extremely useful investment strategy, even before cryptocurrencies were even imagined. Now, with the market being more uncertain than ever, many are wondering what is the right thing to do with the coins in their possession.

Of course, things change depending on the coin in question, but today, we are going to talk about why it is a good idea to hold on to your Stellar (XLM) in 2019.

Why You Should Hodl Stellar (XLM)

The crypto market is rich with hundreds, and even thousands of different projects at this point, and separating valuable ones from those that are destined to slowly fade away can be tricky. However, even the biggest skeptics believe that Stellar is a coin that is here to stay.

XLM was first launched in 2014, and for a long time now, it has been among the top 10 cryptos by market cap. It is an open-source, decentralized protocol that allows users to send fiat currencies by using cryptocurrency as a method of transport. In a lot of ways, it is very similar to XRP. However, the biggest difference is that Stellar aims to offer its services to regular people, while XRP is more interested in working with banks and financial institutions.

Nevertheless, sending money, especially when it comes to cross-border…

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Altcoins

Reasons To Invest In Electroneum In 2019

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Electroneum
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2018 has been quite a rollercoaster for the crypto space. Coins went up and down more times than anyone could have guessed, not to mention two massive market crashes. However, in a few short weeks, the year will be over, and a new, positive period for the crypto world is expected to arrive.

While there are many predictions for 2019, today we are only interested in one thing — Electroneum (ETN). A lot of people quickly took notice of this coin, and many believe that it is among the coins of the future. Indeed, it has received a lot of attention, and many are interested in why that is, and why investing in it is a good idea. So, let’s take a look at a few reasons why you should invest in ETN in 2019.

1) It is fast

Speed and precision of any service have always been very important to people. This importance is even greater when making a profit depends on it. Electroneum developers were aware of this when they created it, and the coin is up to 5 times faster than Bitcoin. This means that ETN transactions can be confirmed much faster, which in turn reduces fees and waiting time.

Furthermore, there are also plans to create Electroneum Virtual Currency Exchange, which will allow the project to act as an exchange. However, the even…

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Bitcoin

SEC Postpones Bitcoin ETF Decision Once Again

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Bitcoin ETF
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The new announcement by the US SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) states that the decision regarding the potential approval of several applications for a Bitcoin ETF (exchange-traded funds) is once again postponed. This time, the SEC declared that the decision will be made by February 27th, 2019.

The application requesting that VanExk SolidX BTC fund get s listed on Cboe BZx Exchange that was published on July 2nd needs to be given order by the commission within 180 days. Originally, the deadline for doing so was December 29th. However, the SEC decided to extend the period for another 60 days, effectively moving it to February 27th.

The SEC stated that designating a longer period for making a decision was found appropriate, as more time is needed in order to properly consider the rule change.

Cryptocurrencies need a sufficient monitoring mechanism, claims SEC chairman

Recent reports claim that the SEC received over 1,600 comments after requesting the public opinion regarding the ETF applications issue. In the past, the SEC rejected many such applications, some of which were even submitted by SolidX itself. In addition, they also rejected the applications submitted by Gemini, the exchange owned by Winklevoss twins. Brothers were attempting to gain ETF approval ever since 2013, although to no avail.

Other applications were also submitted by Direxion, ProShares, as well as GraniteShares. The SEC rejected them…

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